En Allemagne aussi le nombre de cas augmente, selon l'Institut Robert Koch, mais comme en France, le nombre de patients en réanimation reste faible, et le taux de reproduction calculé est lui aussi très modéré, aux alentours ou inférieur à 1 :
Summary (as of 28/08/2020 12:00 AM)
•Since calendar week 29 the 7-day-COVID-19 incidence has risen markedly overall and in many federal states. The number of districts reporting zero COVID-19 cases over a period of 7 days has decreased markedly. Although case numbers have started to decrease in some states, this development remains very concerning.
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Epidemiological Situation in GermanyGeneral current assessment
The increase in the number of reported COVID-19 cases over the past weeks can still be observed in some federal states. It is noticeable that the average age of infection decreased over the past few weeks and that the 7-day incidence particularly in younger age groups has increased and is much higher than in older age groups.
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The current estimate of the 4-day R-value is 0.94 (95%-prediction interval: 0.77 – 1.11) and is based on electronically notified cases as of 28/08/2020, 12:00 AM.
Similarly, the 7-day R-value is estimated by using a moving 7-day average of the nowcasting curve. This compensates for fluctuations more effectively, as this value represents a slightly later course of infection of about one to a little over two weeks ago. The 7-day R-value is estimated at 1.01 (95% prediction interval: 0.90 – 1.10) and is based on electronically notified cases as of 28/08/2020, 12:00 AM.
On note aussi que le nombre de patients en soins intensifs (ICU, Intensive Care Units), est encore plus bas qu'en France, 236, et qu'il y a 8982 lits disponibles, donc on est aussi loin de la saturation. Enfin, le taux de décès en soins intensifs est de 24%, alors qu'il était d'environ 40% en France au moins en région parisienne (et aussi ailleurs dans le monde selon certaines études).